Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.412112 0.456197 0.503586 0.558405 0.620189 0.687800 0.767566
2025-05-11 0.341200 0.402069 0.472358 0.559930 0.666666 0.793240 0.955742
2025-05-18 0.303342 0.372570 0.456429 0.566303 0.707657 0.885004 1.126888
2025-05-25 0.268150 0.340128 0.430643 0.554061 0.719864 0.937625 1.249796
2025-06-01 0.248592 0.324394 0.422926 0.562150 0.756644 1.022979 1.422767
2025-06-08 0.228294 0.305205 0.408057 0.557929 0.774561 1.082324 1.563630
2025-06-15 0.214072 0.292632 0.400478 0.562198 0.803549 1.158570 1.735978
2025-06-22 0.197978 0.275922 0.385397 0.553747 0.812208 1.204392 1.865175
2025-06-29 0.184849 0.262296 0.373415 0.548377 0.824262 1.255430 2.006938
2025-07-06 0.168609 0.242895 0.351412 0.525733 0.806948 1.257738 2.066850
2025-07-13 0.161677 0.236800 0.348729 0.532557 0.836723 1.338342 2.269000
2025-07-20 0.155175 0.230845 0.345709 0.538359 0.864923 1.418366 2.478634
2025-07-27 0.148505 0.224324 0.341539 0.542255 0.890771 1.497756 2.698846
2025-08-03 0.141769 0.217265 0.336027 0.543456 0.912030 1.571081 2.916927
2025-08-10 0.136639 0.212406 0.333656 0.549633 0.942332 1.663352 3.183476
2025-08-17 0.128453 0.202047 0.321504 0.537802 0.938736 1.691470 3.322007
2025-08-24 0.124562 0.198538 0.320555 0.545618 0.972050 1.793333 3.628751
2025-08-31 0.118864 0.191640 0.313363 0.541540 0.982263 1.850372 3.844973
2025-09-07 0.114973 0.187581 0.310787 0.545665 1.008546 1.942130 4.151132
2025-09-14 0.109373 0.180252 0.302012 0.537499 1.009662 1.981619 4.340914
2025-09-21 0.104624 0.174158 0.295074 0.532309 1.016275 2.033216 4.566399
2025-09-28 0.097701 0.163876 0.280027 0.510423 0.986718 2.003516 4.587647
2025-10-05 0.095341 0.161634 0.279524 0.517019 1.017304 2.109661 4.966697